Moetasim AshfaqNov 20, 20237 min readThe low-resolution secrets of high-resolution statistical downscalingThe fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) is out, primarily based on high-resolution statistically downscaled climate projections of...
Moetasim AshfaqNov 13, 20235 min readENSO overreliance could be limiting seasonal predictabilityDuring a strong ENSO year, S2S predictability is typically more accurate than usual, which may overshadow seasonal prediction systems' inher
Moetasim AshfaqOct 17, 20236 min readNatural variability, not climate change, is the main driver of extreme monsoons over PakistanSub-seasonal predictability of extreme monsoons over Pakistan will remain a distant goal.