Moetasim AshfaqMay 14 min readHasty attributions a worrying trendI've been sneezing and coughing a lot lately. I've had scratchy throats, and my mood has fluctuated between fine and irritable. Could...
Moetasim AshfaqFeb 144 min readENSO Jani, what happened?ENSO's positive phase (El Niño) reached its maximum strength in early winter and is predicted to calm down in the next few months. It was...
Moetasim AshfaqNov 13, 20235 min readENSO overreliance could be limiting seasonal predictabilityDuring a strong ENSO year, S2S predictability is typically more accurate than usual, which may overshadow seasonal prediction systems' inher
