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Moetasim Ashfaq
May 1, 20244 min read
Hasty attributions a worrying trend
I've been sneezing and coughing a lot lately. I've had scratchy throats, and my mood has fluctuated between fine and irritable. Could...
Moetasim Ashfaq
Feb 14, 20244 min read
ENSO Jani, what happened?
ENSO's positive phase (El Niño) reached its maximum strength in early winter and is predicted to calm down in the next few months. It was...
Moetasim Ashfaq
Nov 13, 20235 min read
ENSO overreliance could be limiting seasonal predictability
During a strong ENSO year, S2S predictability is typically more accurate than usual, which may overshadow seasonal prediction systems' inher
Moetasim Ashfaq
Oct 17, 20236 min read
Natural variability, not climate change, is the main driver of extreme monsoons over Pakistan
Sub-seasonal predictability of extreme monsoons over Pakistan will remain a distant goal.
Moetasim Ashfaq
Oct 11, 20224 min read
Climate Justice for the Unjust
It may eventually be possible for Pakistan to achieve some climate justice through debt restructuring and foreign aid, but is it ready to...
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