Moetasim AshfaqFeb 144 min readENSO Jani, what happened?ENSO's positive phase (El Niño) reached its maximum strength in early winter and is predicted to calm down in the next few months. It was...
Moetasim AshfaqNov 13, 20235 min readENSO overreliance could be limiting seasonal predictabilityDuring a strong ENSO year, S2S predictability is typically more accurate than usual, which may overshadow seasonal prediction systems' inher
Moetasim AshfaqOct 17, 20236 min readNatural variability, not climate change, is the main driver of extreme monsoons over PakistanSub-seasonal predictability of extreme monsoons over Pakistan will remain a distant goal.
Moetasim AshfaqOct 11, 20224 min readClimate Justice for the UnjustIt may eventually be possible for Pakistan to achieve some climate justice through debt restructuring and foreign aid, but is it ready to...